Monday 17 September 2012

Population graph, with or without Aids (Sub-Saharan Africa)

In the world's six hardest-hit countries (all of them in Sub-Saharan Africa) where at least one-fifth of the adult population has HIV, the average life expectancy for a child born in 2000-2005 will fall to under 40 years, from the pre-AIDS expectation of 60 years. This represents a reversal of most development gains of the past 30 years - affecting an entire generation.



One of the highest prevalence of HIV in the world is currently in Botswana, with more than one in three of the population infected. Life expectancy has dropped from 64 years in 1990-1995 to 51 years in 1995-2000 and is in 2004 around 39, a figure about 28 years lower than the life expectancy projected in the absence of AIDS.

The next graph shows the population pyramid of Botswana with or without Aids epidemic in the year 2020. Botswana has a life expectancy of less than 40 years. In Botswana is the population in 2020 is projected to be below that in 2000.


In South Africa, the largest of the hardest hit countries, average life expectancy is only 47 years, instead of 66, if AIDS were not a factor. HIV prevalence among pregnant women reached nearly one in three in 2004, and in the country's worst affected province, KwaZulu-Natal, prevalence has reached 40 per cent.
The second graph shows two population pyramids with and without Aids, in South Africa, in 2000 and in 2025. The yellow colour in the next graph shows the actual estimated and projected population in South Africa. The red colour shows the hypothetical size of the population in the absence of AIDS.

The second graph shows two population pyramids with and without Aids, in South Africa, in 2000 and in 2025. The yellow colour in the next graph shows the actual estimated and projected population in South Africa. The red colour shows the hypothetical size of the population in the absence of AIDS.
South Africa Population projection with and without AIDS

South Africa Population projection with and without AIDS


This map shows the concentration of AIDS patients in the world. As you can see,  Sub-Saharan Africa has very high statistics compare to other geographic places.